基于LURR方法的漾濞MS6.4地震前异常特征分析
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P315

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2026年度震情跟踪任务(CEA-ZQGZ-202602013)资助


Analysis of Anomaly Characteristics before the Yangbi MS6.4 Earthquake Based on the LURR Method
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    摘要:

    加卸载响应比(LURR)方法能更好地识别震前异常测项变化。对2021年漾濞MS6.4地震前的小震活动和地球物理观测数据进行扫描,结果显示,利用LURR方法可以有效提取震前异常,震前有明显的“加载—卸载”过程,LURR高值时间比原始曲线异常时间更靠近发震时间。小震活动LURR计算结果显示,震前存在明显的“增强—减弱—发震”现象,异常显著区范围有逐渐扩展、然后变小直至发震的演化过程,震前2个月的短期异常信息最为显著,LURR最大值为3.1。部分地球物理LURR异常在时间、空间有类似的演化现象,两者可以有效判定发震紧迫性,为云南地区震情短临跟踪提供新依据。

    Abstract:

    The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) method is effective in identifying pre-seismic anomalous variations in observational data. An examination of small-earthquake activity and geophysical observation data prior to the 2021 Yangbi MS6.4 earthquake indicates that the LURR method can effectively extract pre-seismic anomalies. A distinct loading-unloading process was observed before the earthquake,and the timing of high LURR values was closer to the occurrence time of the event than the anomaly timing indicated by the raw observational curves. LURR calculations based on small-earthquake activity reveal a clear evolutionary pattern of enhancement,weakening,and eventual earthquake occurrence prior to the event. the area of significant anomalies underwent a progressive expansion-contraction process before the earthquake. Short-term anomaly signals during the two months preceding the event were the most pronounced,with a maximum LURR value of 3.1. Some geophysical LURR anomalies exhibit similar temporal and spatial evolutionary patterns,enabling more effective assessment of earthquake urgency and providing a new basis for short-term and imminent earthquake tracking in the Yunnan region.

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李利波,岳冲,王伶俐,赵彬彬,施栋鑫.基于LURR方法的漾濞MS6.4地震前异常特征分析[J].中国地震,2026,42(2):386-397

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-05
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-10
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