2016年门源MS6.4地震前钻孔应变LURR异常特征研究
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P315

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青海格尔木青藏高原内部地球动力学野外科学观测研究站项目(2024-01)、2026年度震情跟踪定向工作任务(CEA-ZQGZ-202601046)共同资助


Study on LURR Anomaly Characteristics of Borehole Strain Prior to the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 Earthquake
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    摘要:

    利用格尔木台和乐都台YRY-4型钻孔应变数据,采用加卸载响应比(LURR)方法分析2016年门源MS6.4地震前的异常特征,并与常规应变分析方法进行对比。结果表明,震前格尔木台原始应变无异常,但剪切应变异常显著;乐都台原始应变与剪切应变均无明显异常。LURR方法在两台站均捕捉到清晰的震前异常,呈现“上升—峰值—回落”形态,符合岩石失稳前的非线性损伤演化规律。此外,格尔木台区域存在低b值异常(b<0.7),而乐都台仅出现LURR单一异常。研究显示,LURR方法能有效提取钻孔应变中的震前异常信息,结合b值分析,可为强震研判提供参考。

    Abstract:

    In this paper,the characteristics of precursory anomalies prior to the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake are investigated using the Load/Unload Response Ratio(LURR)method based on YRY-4 borehole strain data from the Golmud and Ledu stations,and the results are compared with those obtained using the conventional strain analysis method. the results show that no anomalies were identified in the original strain data,whereas significant anomalies were detected in the shear strain at the Golmud station prior to the earthquake. By contrast,neither obvious original-strain nor shear-strain anomalies were observed at the Ledu station. Clear precursory anomalies were captured by the LURR method at both stations,exhibiting a rise-peak-decline pattern consistent with the nonlinear damage evolution law preceding rock failure. In addition,a low b-value anomaly(b<0.7)appeared in the region surrounding the Golmud station,whereas only a single LURR anomaly was detected at the Ledu station. These results indicate that the LURR method can effectively extract precursory information from borehole strain data and,when combined with b-value analysis,can provide a useful reference for strong earthquake assessment.

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孙玺皓,郭瑛霞,胡维云,袁伏全.2016年门源MS6.4地震前钻孔应变LURR异常特征研究[J].中国地震,2026,42(2):422-431

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-28
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-10
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